That day, Adalsteinn Brown, co-chair of a group of health experts advising the province, presented modelling that suggested if public health measures were lifted, hospitalizations and ICU admissions could quickly soar given the aggressive nature of the B117 variant, which had been first detected in the U.K. The third wave was a spectre then, not yet a reality. Ontario was still under its previous stay-at-home order but cases had been on a downward trajectory for weeks. 11, things at least felt like they were looking up. "To suggest that any of this was unpredictable, surprising and occurred any faster than predicted is a fiction." Predicting a disaster Andrew Morris, an infectious diseases specialist at the University of Toronto. "I have been very reluctant to be so assertive, but, at this point in time, there is absolutely nothing that would allow me to conclude otherwise," said Dr. Some health experts say the Ford government's failure to act quickly and decisively on dire warnings has exacerbated the disaster and has ultimately cost lives. (Twitter: )ĭespite that recommendation - and a letter from 153 ICU doctors imploring the province to take tougher action - Ontario waited nearly another week to issue the order. The scientists behind Ontario's COVID-19 modelling hit back at Premier Doug Ford after he said the modelling didn't show how bad Ontario's crisis would become.
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